Prospects of new energy vehicles
In the long history of human beings, there have been two changes in the transportation energy power system, each of which has brought great changes to human production and life, and also achieved the economic take-off of leading countries or regions. The first revolution occurred in the 1760s, marked by the birth of steam engine technology. Coal and steam engines greatly improved the productivity of human society, created human industrial economy and industrial civilization, and triggered the European Industrial Revolution. The European countries became the world economic powers at that time.
The second change occurred in the 1870s. Oil and internal combustion engines replaced coal and steam engines, which transformed the world economic structure from light industry to heavy industry. It also contributed to the economic take-off of the United States and brought mankind into the oil-based economy. System and material prosperity.
Humanity has once again come to the crossroads of the transformation of the transportation energy power system. The third transformation will replace oil and internal combustion engines with electricity and power batteries (including fuel cells), bringing human beings into the era of clean energy. We boldly predict that the third transformation will be The transformation of the transportation energy power system will drive the Asian economy to take off, making Asia replace the United States as the engine of the world economy.
Under the pressure of energy and environmental protection, new energy vehicles will undoubtedly become the development direction of future vehicles. If new energy vehicles develop rapidly, based on the 140 million car ownership in China in 2020, 32.29 million tons of oil can be saved, 31.1 million tons of oil can be replaced, and a total of 63.39 million tons of oil can be saved and replaced, which is equivalent to reducing the demand for automobile oil by 22.7% %. Before 2020, saving and replacing oil mainly depends on the development of advanced diesel vehicles and hybrid vehicles. By 2030, the development of new energy vehicles will save 73.06 million tons of oil, replace 91 million tons of oil, and save and replace a total of 164.06 million tons of oil, which is equivalent to reducing automotive oil demand by 41%. By then, biofuels and fuel cells will play an important role in the replacement of automobile oil.
Combined with China's energy resource status and the development trend of international automobile technology, it is estimated that after 2025, China's ordinary gasoline vehicles will only account for about 50% of passenger vehicles, while advanced diesel vehicles, gas vehicles, biofuel vehicles, etc. New energy vehicles will develop rapidly.
